Official modelling shows more than 100,000 severely mentally ill people who now receive government support will not be included in the $22 billion National Disability Insurance Scheme, threatening a major health crisis.
The government modelling — undertaken for all health ministers by the NSW and Queensland governments and kept secret for two years — shows there are more than 500,000 people with a severe mental illness between the ages of 18 and 64, compared with just 57,000 places allowed by the Productivity Commission for the NDIS. Adjusted for population growth, the NDIS allows 64,000 in this category at full rollout.
Using the unpublished findings of the National Mental Health Service Planning Framework, it is understood about 290,000 mentally ill patients require some form of community support each year, such as individual help, group support or non-acute residential care.
The modelling shows that as programs shift focus and are phased out, 100,000 people from this group of 290,000 are likely to lose all or part of their support.
Click the following link to view this report published in The Australian.